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Fermi questions
Dr. Jay Maron

Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Level 4
Beyond Category
Solutions

Charts
Metric units
English units
Scoring
Science Olympiad ammunition
External Fermi resources


Level 1

World Cup

What is the height of the FIFA World Cup trophy, the Stanley Cup trophy, and the Lombardi trophy?
C=6, F=0

Bonus point: The World Cup trophy is ornamented by a green mineral. What is the mineral?


Tank

M8 Buford

In the film "A Team", a falling tank fires its gun. The tank is an M8 Buford. What is the tank recoil speed?
C=4, F=-4


Beer

Define a unit of alcohol to be the alcohol in one can of beer, and call this unit the "Bond". The can has 12 fluid ounces and the beer has an alcohol concentration of 5%. How many Bonds of alcohol are there in a beer pitcher, a wine bottle, a Scotch bottle, and a beer keg? Assume that the beer in the keg is 5% alcohol.
C=4, F=-1


Strings

What is the length of a viola string and a bass guitar string? (The active vibrating part)
C=6, F=0

What is the frequency of a viola C string?
C=6, F=-2

If a viola C string is made of steel, what is the mass of the vibrating part?
C=4, F=-4


Balls

What is the volume and mass of a golf ball, an American football, and a rugby ball?

Use the volume enclosed by the outer surface, not the volume of air enclosed.
C=4, F=-2


Earth

What is

Mass of atmosphere / Mass of Earth

Mass of oceans / Mass of Earth

C=4, F=-2


Universe

In the Earth's history, the "Cambrian explosion" is when multicellular life first became widespread, and it coincides with when the atmosphere's oxygen content became large.

t = Time since the Cambrian explosion
T = Time since the Big Bang

What is t/T?

C=3, F=-3


Hamlet

What is the total number of words, lines, scenes, and characters in Shakespeare's "Hamlet"?

How many characters died during the play?

C=3, F=-3


Printing

For the English language, many words and letters are there in an 80-character line, on average?

C=3, F=-2


Paper

How many sheets of paper does a standard box have?

What is the mass of a box full of paper?

C=3, F=-3


Tennis balls

How many tennis balls fit into a standard box of paper? The balls must be recently-uncanned and fully-pressurized. The box must have a lid that's fully closed and the box isn't allowed to bulge.

C=5, F=-3

How about hockey pucks?

C=5, F=-3

How about soccer balls balls?

3 point for the correct answer, 2 points for being off by 1, and 1 point for being off by 2. The floor is 0.

How about footballs?

3 point for the correct answer, 2 points for being off by 1, and 1 point for being off by 2. The floor is 0.


Level 2

Niagara Falls

For Niagara falls, for the Horseshoe segment, what is the power associated with the falling water?
C=2, F=-8


Jupiter's moons

m = Total mass of Jupiter's moons
M = Mass of Jupiter

what is M/m?
C=4, F=-4


Rivers

What is the global river flow in km3/year?
C=4, F=-4


Whales

What is the total mass of whales and of whale brains?

C=3, F=-6


Calcium

How much calcium is in a 100 kg human?
C=3, F=-4

How much calcium is in a chicken egg? Include the shell.
C=3, F=-4


Supercomputer

On January 1, 2020, the fastest supercomputer was "Summit". What was its speed in flops and its memory in bytes?
C=3, F=-4

For the first X-Box, what was the speed in flops?
C=3, F=-4


Farm

The USA leads the world for farm output per hectare, and Iowa leads the USA.

In Iowa, what is the average yield in kg/hectare/year for soy? What is the calorie power generated in Watts/meter2?
C=3, F=-4


Plants

What is the mass of all plants in the world?
C=2, F=-6


Photosynthesis

What is the mass of carbon captured by plants in one year?
C=2, F=-6


Asteroids and Kuiper belt objects

What is

Asteroid belt mass / Earth mass

Kuiper belt mass / Earth mass

The Kuiper belt includes Pluto and doesn't include Neptune's moons.

C=2, F=-6


Formula-E

Formula-E race cars use battery power. For the battery, what is the energy/mass and power/mass?
C=5, F=-2


Planets

What is

Total mass of planets / Sun mass
C=2, F=-6


Candle

For a candle the size of a 12 ounce soda can, how long does it burn?
C=3, F=-6


Nuclear fission

For the nuclear fission of uranium-235, what is the energy/mass released?
C=4, F=-6


Hydrogen + oxygen rocket

The Space Shuttle has hydrogen + oxygen rockets. What is the exhaust speed when the rockets are fired in vacuum?
C=3, F=-6


Large Hadron Collider

For Large Hadron Collider, the maximum particle energy is "E". Let "e" be the rest energy of a proton. What is E/e?
C=3, F=-6


Mining

What is the mass of steel that the world produced in 2021? How about gold?
C=2, F=-8


Level 3

Voyager II

Plutonium-238

Voyager II has 13.5 kg of Plutonium-238, which decays by alpha emission. What is the heat power produced at the start of the mission?
C=3, F=-6


Balsa rod

A cylindrical rod of balsa has a diameter 1 millimeter. How much force does it take to break the rod by tension?
C=2, F=-8


Steel rod

A rod of steel has a diameter of 1 millimeter and a length of 1000 meters. If a tension force of 10 Newtons is applied to it, how much does it stretch?
C=2, F=-8


Uranus

Uranus is at the threshhold of human visibility. What is the flux of light from Uranus in Watts/meter2?
C=2, F=-8


Fusion bomb

For nuclear fusion bombs, what is the maximum energy/mass that has been achieved? "Mass" includes the mass of both the fusion fuel and the rest of the bomb.
C=2, F=-6


Oxygen
Atmospheric oxygen mass                           = M         kg
Photosynthesis production rate for oxygen         = R         kg/second
Time required to produce one atmosphere of oxygen = T = M/R   second

What is T?

C=3, F=-8


Triton

What is the temperature of Neptune's moon Triton?

C=3, F=-4


Level 4

Soccer ball

A soccer ball moves at 6 meters/second through air. How far does it travel before stopping? Assuming zero gravity, that the air has the same density as at sea level, and that the ball doesn’t collide with anything.
C=2, F=-6


Lobe

Estimate    ∫-π/2π/2 cos32(x) dx
C=6, F=-2


Whip

Estimate ∫0 sin(2 π ex)
C=6, F=-4


Sum

Estimate F(11).
C=4, F=-6


Beyond Category

Tower of Power

xxxxx

Exponentials are evaluated top-down.

xxx = x(xx)

Let Tn(x) be a sequence such that    T1(x) = x    and    Tn+1(x) = xTn(x).    For example,

T1(x) = x
T2(x) = xx
T3(x) = x(xx)
Estimate T12(5/4)

Estimate T12(3/4)

For what values of x>0 does limn→∞Tn(x) converge?


Solutions

Level 1

World Cup

What is the height of the FIFA World Cup trophy, the Stanley Cup trophy, and the Lombardi trophy?

Bonus point: The World Cup trophy is ornamented by a green mineral. What is the mineral?

The trophy base contains malachite Cu2CO3(OH)2.

            Height   Mass
              cm      kg

World Cup    36.8     6.175
Stanley Cup  89.54   15.5
Lombardi     56       3.2

         Density
         gram/cm2

Gold     19.3
Silver   10.5
Copper    9.0
Zinc      7.1
Nickel    8.9
Iron      7.9

Tank

M8 Buford

In the film "A Team", a falling tank fires its gun. The tank is an M8 Buford. What is the tank recoil speed?

M8 Buford tank mass  = 17200  kg
Cartridge diameter   =   105  mm
Projectile mass      =   5.8  kg               Includes sabot. 4.1 kg without sabot
Projectile speed     =  1475  meter/second
Recoil speed         =   .50  meter/second


Beer

Define a unit of alcohol to be the alcohol in one can of beer, and call this unit the "Bond". The can has 12 fluid ounces and the beer has an alcohol concentration of 5%. How many units of alcohol are there in a beer pitcher, a wine bottle, a Scotch bottle, and a beer keg? Assume that the beer in the keg is 5% alcohol.

A fluid ounce is 29.6 ml, and a beer can has 12 ounces. A beer pitcher is 4 pints. Wine and Scotch bottles are 750 ml. A beer keg is 15.5 gallons.

            Alcohol   Total   Alcohol   Alcohol
            fraction  volume  volume    volume
                       oz       oz    (relative to beer can)

Beer can       .05     12       .6      1
Beer pitcher   .05     64      3.2      5.3
Beer keg       .05   1984     99.2    165.3
Wine bottle    .13     25.4    3.3      5.5
Scotch bottle  .40     25.4   10.1     16.9

Strings

What is the length of a viola string and a bass guitar string? (The active vibrating part)
C=6, F=0

What is the frequency of a viola C string?
C=4, F=0

If a viola C string is made of steel, what is the mass of the vibrating part?
C=4, F=-4

Viola strings are tuned as perfect fifths and the frequency ratio between adjacent strings is 2/3. The A string is the top string and the C string is the bottom string.

Viola string length  = L        = .388  meter
A string frequency              =  440  Hertz
D string frequency              =  293  Hertz        440 ⋅ ⅔
G string frequency              =  196  Hertz        440 ⋅ (⅔)2
C string frequency   = F        =  130  Hertz        440 ⋅ (⅔)3
String wavespeed     = V = 2LF  =  101  meter/second
                         = (T/m)½
String tension       = T        =   55  Newton
String mass/length   = m        =.0054  kg/meter
String mass          = M = m L  = 2.09  gram
           String
           length   Tension (Newtons)
             mm     E   A   D   G   C

Violin      320    80  50  45  45
Viola       388        65  55  55  55
Cello       690       160 130 130 130
Bass       1060       160 160 160 160
Guitar      650       120 120 120 120
Bass guitar 860       160 160 160 160

Balls

What is the volume and mass of a golf ball, an American football, and a rugby ball?

Use the volume enclosed by the outer surface, not the volume of air enclosed.

Football length = L
Football radius = R
Football volume = 4π/3 R2 L/2

              Ball    Ball   Court   Court   Ball     Ball    Ball
            diameter  Mass   length  width  density  length  volume
               mm      g       m       m     g/cm3     mm     cm3

Ping pong      40      2.7    2.74    1.525   .081
Squash         40     24      9.75    6.4     .716
Golf           43     46                     1.10              41.6
Badminton      54      5.1   13.4     5.18    .062
Racquetball    57     40     12.22    6.10    .413
Billiards      59    163      2.84    1.42   1.52
Tennis         67     58     23.77    8.23    .368
Cricket        72    160     80               .82                  80 meters from batter to home run boundary
Field hockey   73    160     91.4    55       .78
Baseball       74.5  146    122               .675                 Pitcher-batter distance = 19.4 m
Whiffle        76     45                      .196
Hockey puck    76    163     61      26      1.44      25
Polo           82    130    274.3   146.3     .45
Croquet        92    454                     1.11
Softball       97.1  188                      .39
Shot put      125   7260                     7.10
Football      178    420     91.44   48.76    .045    283    9390
Rhythmic gymn 190    400     12      12       .111
Rugby         191    435    100      70       .039    290   11080
Volleyball    210    270     18       9       .056
Bowling       217   7260     18.29    1.05   1.36
Soccer        220    432    105      68       .077           5575
Cannonball    220  14000                     7.9
Basketball    239    624     28      15       .087
Beach ball    610    120                      .0011

Earth

What is

Mass of atmosphere / Mass of Earth

Mass of oceans / Mass of Earth

Atmosphere pressure  =  P          =    101  kPascal = 15 pounds/inch
Gravity              =  g          =    9.8  meters/second2
Atmosphere mass/area =  m  =  P/g  =  10300  kg/meter2
Earth radius         =  R          =   6371  km
Earth surface area                 =    510  Mkm2
Earth land area                    =    149  Mkm2
Earth ocean area                   =    361  Mkm2
Earth density                      =   5510  kg/meter3
Earth mass                         =5.97e24  kg
Atmosphere mass                    =5.25e18  kg
Ocean mean depth                   =   3688  meter
Ocean mass                         =1.33e21  kg
Atmosphere/Earth                   =8.8 e-7  Dimensionless
Ocean/Earth                        =.000223  Dimensionless

C=4, F=-2


Universe

In the Earth's history, the "Cambrian explosion" is when multicellular life first became widespread, and it coincides with when the atmosphere's oxygen content became large.

t = Time since the Cambrian explosion
T = Time since the Big Bang

What is t/T?

t = 539 Myear
T = 13.79 Gyear
t/T = .0391

C=3, F=-3


What is the total number of words, lines, scenes, and characters in Shakespeare's "Hamlet"?

How many characters died during the play?

C=3, F=-3

Most sources regard the total number of plays as 37. Their data is:

                         Words   Lines  Speeches  Scenes  Characters

Total                     835997  101800  34895   ~700    1242
Average                    22595    2751    943    ~19      33.6

Hamlet                     30557    4030   1250     20      30   Largest
Othello                    26450    3560   1309     15      25
King Lear                  26145    3499   1181     26      25
Romeo and Juliet           24545    3093    989     25      32
Much Ado About Nothing     21157    2581   1062     17      23
Julius Caesar              19703    2636    895     18      47
Macbeth                    17121    2477    765     29      38
A Midsummer Night's Dream  16511    2165    605      9      22
A Comedy of Errors         14701    1785    664     11      19   Smallest

A speech is anything from 1 word to a lengthy statement.

Words per line = 8.2

Words per speech = 23.6

Lines per speech = 2.92

Speeches per scene ~ 50

An English word has an average of 4.7 letters.

There are about 3.9 million letters in Shakespeare's plays.

1000 lines is 1 hour of stage time.

In Hamlet, 3 characters died before the play and 8 died during.

Characters that died:

Yorrick: Died years before the play.
Fortinbras Sr.: Murdered by King Hamlet before the play.
King Hamlet: Poisoned by Claudius before the play. Returns as a ghost.
Polonius: Stabbed from behind a curtain by Hamlet who believed him to be Claudius spying on him.
Ophelia: Committed suicide by drowning herself after going insane because of Polonius' death.
Rosencrantz: Killed on orders by Claudius.
Guildenstern: Killed on orders by Claudius.
Gertrude: Drank wine that was poisoned by Claudius that was intended for Hamlet.
Claudius: - Forced to drink poisoned wine after being stabbed by Hamlet.
Laertes: Wounded by Hamlet with a poisoned sword.
Prince Hamlet: Wounded by Laertes with a poisoned sword, as part of Claudius's plan. Shared kill.

Data for lines at https://www.jstor.org/stable/508828


Paper

How many sheets of paper does a standard box have?

What is the mass of a box full of paper?

 Quire                             =   25 sheets
 Ream                 =  20 quires =  500 sheets
 Bundle  =   2 reams  =  40 quires = 1000 sheets
 Bale    =  10 reams  = 200 quires = 5000 sheets = 1 box of paper

 Mass of a full box = 9.1 kg = 20 pounds.
 Height of 5 reams of paper = 12.5 inches.
 Paper sheet thickness = .127 mm.
 Dollar bill thickness = .11  mm.

Printing

For the English language, many words and letters are there in an 80-character line, on average?

C=3, F=-3

An English word has on average 4.7 letters.

An 80-character line has on average 13.5 words.

A sheet of paper usually has 60 lines, 842 words, and 3959 letters.


Level 2

Niagara Falls

For Niagara falls, for the Horseshoe segment, what is the power associated with the falling water?

Height        = H       =    57  meters
Average flow  = F       =  2400  meter2/second
                        =  2400  tons/second
Gravity       = g       =   9.8  meter/second2
Power         = P = gFH =  1.34  GWatt

C=2, F=-8


Jupiter's moons

The Earth's moon is ~ 1/3 the size of the Earth and ~ 2/3 of the Earth's density, so we estimate the mass of the moon to be .027 Earth masses. The true value is .0123 Earth masses.

Jupiter is 318 Earth masses. If we assume that Jupiter's four major moons have the same mass as Earth's moons, the ratio is .000155. The true value is .000207.

Sizes to scale.

In Earth masses,

Earth               =  1
Earth's Moon        =   .0123
Io                  =   .0150
Europa              =   .0080
Ganymede            =   .0248
Callisto            =   .0180
Jupiter moon total  =   .0658
Jupiter             =318
JupiterMoons/Jupiter=   .000207

Rivers

What is the global river flow in km3/year?

Exact answer = 47000 km3/year

Average precipitation on land   =   .715  meters/year
Land area                       =    149  Mkm2
Global land precipitation       = 106500  km3/year
Global river flow               =  47000  km3/year
Fraction of rain going to rivers=    .44


Whales

What is the total mass of whales and of whale brains?

C=3, F=-6

World sperm whale biomass is 16 Bkg and world total whale biomass is 36 Bkg. A sperm whale brain is 8 kg and there are .4 million sperm whales, for a world sperm whale brain mass of 3.2 Mkg. Total world whale brain mass is 6.4 Mkg.

         World biomass  Population   Mass  Brain mass   World brainmass
              Bkg        millions     kg      kg             Mkg

Sperm          16          .40      40000     8              3.2
Fin             6          .10      60000     6.9             .69
S. Bottlenose   3          .5        6000     2              1.0
Blue            2.5        .02     125000     4               .08
Humpback        2.4        .080     30000     4.7             .38
Bowhead         2.2        .030     75000     2.74            .08
Bryde           1.4        .095     15000     ?              ~.3
Sei             1.1        .057     20000     ?              ~.2
Right            .6        .01      60000     ?              ~.1
Gray             .6        .026     25000     4.32            .11

Total          35.8                                          6.4

Calcium

How much calcium is in a 100 kg human?

How much calcium is in a chicken egg? Include the shell.

Bones are 27.9% calcium and 13.0% phosphorus. Humans are 14% bone. The calcium mass is 3.9 kg.

Chicken egg:

            Mass     Calcium
            grams     grams

Egg total    60       1.95
White        36.6      .0023
Yolk         18.3      .028
Shell         5.1     1.92

Almost all the calcium is in the shell. Eggs are 3.2% calcium. Shells are 94% calcium carbonate (CaCO3) and calcium carbonate is 40% calcium.

An egg is typically 3% of the mass of the adult bird.


Computer speed

On January 1, 2020, the fastest supercomputer was "Summit". What was its speed in flops and memory in bytes?

For the first X-Box, what was the speed in flops?

Summit speed = 2.0⋅1017 flops
Summit memory = 1.29⋅1016 Gbyte
X-Box speed = 2.0e10 flops


Farm

The USA leads the world for farm output per hectare, and Iowa leads the USA.

In Iowa, what is the average yield in kg/hectare/year for soy? What is the calorie power generated in Watts/meter2?

        Yield      Energy    Power
       ton/ha/yr   Cal/kg  Watts/meter2

Soy       4.23      4460     .250
Corn     12.6        860     .143

1 Calorie = 4.18 kJoule.


Plants

What is the mass of all plants in the world?
C=2, F=-6

Plants dominate world biomass, and most plant biomass is in trees. Trees are mostly wood, and wood is 1/2 carbon. World tree biomass is 1000 Tkg.

World land area             =  149  Mkm2
World forest area           =   35  Mkm2
Land fraction that is forest= .235
World plant biomass         = 1100  Tkg/meter2
World forest biomass        = 1000  Tkg/meter2
Typical forest density      =   29  kg/meter2

World forest photosynthesis =   80  Tkg/year         Biomass production
Forest photosynthesis/area  =  2.3  kg/meter2/year   Biomass production
Wood energy/mass            =   18  MJoule/kg
Forest photosynthesis power = 1.31  Watt/meter2
Average solar power         =  200  Watt/meter2
Photosynthesis efficiency   =.0066

Photosynthesis

What is the mass of carbon captured by plants in one year?
C=2, F=-6

See the preceeding problem.


Asteroids and Kuiper belt objects

What is

Asteroid belt mass / Earth mass

Kuiper belt mass / Earth mass

The Kuiper belt includes Pluto and doesn't include Neptune's moons.

C=2, F=-6

            Semimajor    Mass      Radius   Escape  Orbit   Parent
            axis (AU)  (Earth=1)  (Earth=1) speed   speed   planet
                                            (km/s)  (km/s)

 Sun                  333000     109.2   618.
 Mercury      .387      .0553      .383    4.3    47.9
 Venus        .723      .8150      .950   10.46   35.0
 Earth       1.000     1.0000     1.000   11.2    29.8
 Mars        1.524      .1074      .532    5.03   24.1
 Jupiter     5.203   317.83      10.86    59.5    13.1
 Saturn      9.537    95.16       9.00    35.5     9.64
 Uranus     19.19     14.50       3.97    21.3     6.81
 Neptune    30.07     17.20       3.86    23.5     5.43
 Pluto      39.48       .00220     .184    1.23    4.74
 Moon                   .0123      .273    2.38    1.02   Earth
 Phobos                 2.5e-10    .0018    .0113  2.14   Mars
 Deimos                 1.8e-10    .0010    .0056  1.35   Mars
 Io                     .01495     .286    2.56   17.3    Jupiter
 Europa                 .00804     .245    2.02   13.7    Jupiter
 Ganymede               .0248      .413    2.74   10.9    Jupiter
 Callisto               .0180      .379    2.44    8.2    Jupiter
 Titan                  .0225      .404    2.64    5.6    Saturn
 Triton                 .00358     .213    1.455   4.4    Neptune
 Charon                 .000271    .093     .23     .21   Pluto

 Asteroids              .0005                             Mass of all asteroids
 Vesta       2.36       .0000447   .0413    .36   19.3    Asteroid
 Ceres       2.766      .00016     .074     .51   17.9    Asteroid
 Pallas      2.77       .0000359   .0427    .32   17.6    Asteroid

 Kuiper belt            .03                               Mass of all Kuiper belt objects
 Haumea     43.34       .00070     .0487    .84    4.48   Kuiper belt object
 Makemake   45.79       .0007      .11      .74    4.42   Kuiper belt object
 Eris       67.67       .00278     .183    1.34    3.44   Kuiper belt object

Formula-E

Formula-E race cars use battery power. For the battery, what is the energy/mass and power/mass?
C=5, F=-2

For a Formula-E car battery,

Power        =  200  kWatt
Energy       =  194  MJoule
Mass         =  250  kg
Energy/Mass  =  .78  MJoule/kg
Power/Mass   =  800  Watt/kg

Performance:

Max speed       =   62  meter/second
Time to 100 kph =  3.0  second
Car mass        =  725  kg

                    Motor   100kph  Top  Battery  Battery  Battery  Battery   Car    Car    Year
                    power    time  speed energy    mass                       mass   cost
                    kWatt     s     m/s  MJoule     kg    MJoule/kg kWatt/kg  kg      $

Rimac C Two          1408    2.0    115   432                                 1950 2400000  2019  Concept car
NIO EP9              1000    2.7     87   324      635      .51     1.54      1735 1200000  2016  Concept car
Rimac Concept One     913    2.5     94   324                                 1850  980000  2013  Concept car
GM Hummer EV          746                 720                                 4103          2021
Tesla Model S         615                 360      635      .57      .97      2250
Tesla Cybertruck Tri  600    3.0     58   720                                 3000   91000  2021
Porsche TaycanTurboS  560    2.8     72   301                                 2370  250000  2021
Chevy Silverado EV+   495    4.4          720                                               2023
Audi e-tron GT RS     475    3.3     69   336                                 2350  186000  2021
Ford F-150 Lightning+ 420    4.5          472                                 2995   90000  2022
Hyundai Ioniq 5       230    5.2     50   209                                 1800   48000  2021
Formula-E racecar     200    3.0     62   194      250      .78      .80       725          2018

Planets

What is

Total mass of planets / Sun mass
C=2, F=-6

Total planet mass = 446.7 Earth masses

Total planet mass / Sun mass = .00135

        Semimajor    Mass      Radius   Escape  Orbit
        axis (AU)  (Earth=1)  (Earth=1) speed   speed
                                         km/s    km/s
Sun                  333000     109.2   618.
Mercury      .387      .0553      .383    4.3    47.9
Venus        .723      .8150      .950   10.46   35.0
Earth       1.000     1.0000     1.000   11.2    29.8
Mars        1.524      .1074      .532    5.03   24.1
Jupiter     5.203   317.83      10.86    59.5    13.1
Saturn      9.537    95.16       9.00    35.5     9.64
Uranus     19.19     14.50       3.97    21.3     6.81
Neptune    30.07     17.20       3.86    23.5     5.43
Pluto      39.48       .00220     .184    1.23    4.74

Candle

For a candle the size of a 12 ounce soda can, how long does it burn?

The unit "candela" is based on a standard candle that burns 7.8 grams of oil per hour. The oil is whale spermaceti oil.

               Energy/Mass  Carbons   Energy/Mass
                MJoule/kg             Calorie/gram

Hydrogen          141.8       0
Methane            55.5       1                   Natural gas
Ethane             51.9       2
Propane            50.4       3
Butane             49.5       4
Octane             47.8       8
Kerosene           46        12
Diesel             46        16
Wax                42        30

Crude oil          46        36
Pure carbon        32.8
Coal               32
Wood               22

Fat                37        20        9
Ethanol            29                  7
Sugar              17                  4
Protein            17                  4

Nuclear fission

For the nuclear fission of uranium-235, what is the energy/mass released?
C=4, F=-6

Uranium-235 fission releases 202.5 MeV of heat and 8.8 MeV of neutrons, for a total energy of 211.3 MeV. The mass of a uranium-235 nucleus is 219 GeV, so the energy fraction is .00096

The binding energy per nucleon of uranium-235 is 1 MeV lower than for the fission products, hence we expect fission to release 1 MeV of energy per nucleon.


Level 3

Voyager II

Plutonium-238

Voyager is powered by 13.5 kg of Plutonium-238, which decays by alpha emission. What is the heat power produced at the start of the mission?

Dalton                                    = 931.5   MeV
Alpha decay energy      = m               =   5.59  MeV
Plutonium-238 mass      = M               = 238.05  Dalton
                                          = 222     GeV
Plutonium-238 half life = T               =  87.7   years
Energy/Mass             = e = m C2 / M    =2270     GJoule/kg
Power/Mass              = p = e ln(2) / T = 567     Watt/kg
Total mass              = Q
Total power             = P = p Q         =7140     Watt

Balsa rod

Calculation based on data:

Balsa tensile strength =  T          =   20    MPascal/meter2
Cross-sectional area   =  A          = 7.9e-7  meter2
Breaking force         =  F  =  A T  =   15.7  Newton

Estimation:

Wood tensile modulus / density =  C  =  Γ/D  =   25    MJoules/kg       Approximately true for most woods and metals
Balsa density                  =  D          =  150    kg/meter3
Balsa tensile modulus          =  Γ  =  C D  =    3.8  GPascal
Balsa tensile breaking strain  =  δ          =     .08 Dimensionless    Approximately true for most woods
Balsa tensile breaking stress  =  T  =  Γ δ  =   30    MPascal
Cross-sectional area           =  A          =  7.9e-7 meter2.
Breaking force                 =  F  =  A T  =   24    Newton

Steel rod

Estimate:

Metal tensile modulus / density =  C             =   25    MJoules/kg     Approximately true for most woods and metals
Iron density                    =  D             = 7900    kg/meter3
Steel tensile modulus           =  Γ  =  C D     =  198    GPascal
Cross-sectional area            =  A             = 7.9e-7  meter2.
Rod length                      =  L             = 1000    meter
Force                           =  F             =  100    Newton
Stress                          =  P  =  F / A   = .127    GPascal
Fractional elongation           =  δ  =  P / Γ   = .00064  Dimensionless
Elongation                      =  x  =  δ L     =   .64   meter

For steel, the precise value of the tensile modulus is 211 GPascal, which gives an elogation of .68 meters.


Fusion bomb
For nuclear fusion bombs, what is the maximum energy/mass that has been achieved? "Mass" includes the mass of both the fusion fuel and the rest of the bomb.
C=2, F=-6

In a fusion bomb,

Lithium-6  +  Neutron  →  Helium  +  Tritium  +  4.78 MeV
Deuterium  +  Tritium  →  Helium  +  Neutron  +  17.59 MeV

Overall,

Lithium-6  +  Neutron  →  Helium  +  Helium  +  Neutron  +  22.37 MeV

The binding energy per nucleon of lithium-6 is 1.8 MeV lower than for helium-4. Deuterium is even lower. We expect fusion to release on the order of 3 MeV per nucleon.

1 ton of TNT                        =   4⋅109  Joules
1 ton of gasoline                   =   4⋅1010 Joules
Massive Ordnance Air Blast bomb     =   .000011 MTons TNT  (Largest U.S. conventional bomb)
Trinity plutonium-239 test          =   .020 MTons TNT
Hiroshima uranium-235 fission bomb  =   .015 MTons TNT   "Little Boy". 60 kg Uranium-235
Nagasaki plutonium-239 fission bomb =   .021 MTons TNT   "Fat Man".     6 kg Plutonium-239
Ivy King fission bomb               =   .5   MTons TNT   Largest pure fission bomb
B83 fusion bomb                     =  1.2   MTons TNT   Largest bomb in active service
Castle Bravo fusion bomb            = 15     MTons TNT   Largest U.S. test
B41 fusion bomb                     = 25     MTons TNT   Largest U.S. bomb created
Tsar Bomba                          = 50     MTons TNT   Largest USSR test

Mining

What is the mass of steel that the world produced in 2021? How about gold? C=2, F=-8

True values: Iron = 1900 Bkg and Gold = 2.8 Mkg.

Estimate: Assume that the value of gold mined in a year is 100 B$. Gold is 35000 $/kg, which gives a mass of 2.9 Mkg.

Estimate: Iron eclipses all other elements for mining value. Assume that the value of iron mined in a year is 1 T$. Iron is .75 $/kg, which gives a mass of 1300 Bkg.


Oxygen
Atmospheric oxygen mass                           = M         kg
Photosynthesis production rate for oxygen         = R         kg/second
Time required to produce one atmosphere of oxygen = T = M/R   second

What is T?

C=3, F=-8

Earth biomass carbon                   =  555  Tkg                     Mostly trees
Photosynthesis carbon rate             =  100  Tkg/year
Photosynthesis oxygen rate   = S       =  282  Tkg/year                Land contributes 57%
Production rate for O2/Carbon          = 2.82  Dimensionless
Earth radius                           = 6371  km
Earth area                   = A       =  510  Mkm2
Earth pressure               = P = D g =  101  kPascal
Gravity                      = g       =  9.8  meter/second2
Atmosphere column density    = D       =10300  kg/meter2
Atmosphere mass              = M       = 5253  Qkg
Atmosphere oxygen fraction   = f          .21
Atmosphere oxygen mass       = m = M f = 1103  Qkg
Oxygen production time       = T = m/S = 3911  year
Carbon production per area             =  .20  kg/meter2/year     World
Carbon production per area             =  .38  kg/meter2/year     Land
Carbon production per area             =  .12  kg/meter2/year     Ocean
Wood carbon fraction                   =   .5
Wood oxygen fraction                   =   .42
Wood hydrogen fraction                 =   .06
Wood nitrogen fraction                 =   .01

Triton

What is the temperature of Neptune's moon Triton?

C=3, F=-4

The true value is 38 Kelvin.

Blackbody radiation power scales as temperature to the 4th power, and solar radiation power scales as the SMA to the minus 2nd power. Equating them,

Temperature ~ SMA

The Earth's moon is colder than the Earth because it doesn't have greenhouse heating. The Earth's average temperature is 287 Kelvin and the moon's average temperature is 250 Kelvin. We estimate Triton's temperature as

250 * 30 = 46 Kelvin

Planet    Moon     Moon   Planet  Planet SMA
                  Kelvin  Kelvin      AU

Earth     Moon     250     287       1
Jupiter   Europa   102     165       5.20
Saturn    Titan     94     134       9.58
Uranus    Titania   70      76      19.19
Neptune   Triton    38      72      30.07
Pluto     Charon            33      39.48      At perihelion at 29.66 AU
Pluto     Charon    53      44      39.48      Average temperature over the orbit
Pluto     Charon            55      39.48      At apehelion at 49.30 AU

Nitrogen freezes on Triton and it's a gas on Titania.

           Melt     Boil
          Kelvin   Kelvin

Helium       1.7     4.2
Hydrogen    13.4    20.3
Neon        24.6    27.1
Oxygen      54.4    90.2
Nitrogen    63.2    77.4
Methane     90.7   111.6
Krypton    115.8   119.7
Xenon      161.4   165.1

Level 4

Lobe

Estimate    ∫-π/2π/2 cos32(x) dx

Exact answer:

-π/2π/2 cos32(x) dx = 300 π / 2147 = .439

Lobe width can be estimated with

D = d2/dx2 cosn(x)   |x=0   =   -n            n = 2, 4, 6, ...

Lobe width ~ (-D) ~ n½

A lobe of cos32(x) has ¼ the width of a lobe of cos2(x), hence we approximate

-π/2π/2 cos32(x) dx   ∼   ¼ ∫-π/2π/2 cos2(x) dx = π/8 = .393


Soccer ball drag

A soccer ball moves at 6 meters/second through air. How far does it travel before stopping? Assuming zero gravity, that the air has the same density as at sea level, and that the ball doesn’t collide with anything.

Define a "Newton length" as the distance a ball travels such that it encounters a mass of air equal to its own mass. This is the characteristic length for a ball to slow down by a factor of 2.

Ball mass                          =  M  =  .437  kg
Ball diameter                      =  D  =  .22   meters
Ball cross-sectional area          =  S  =  .038  meters2
Ball density                       =  Ρ  =78.4    kg/meters3
Air density                        =  ρ  = 1.22   kg/meter3   (Air at sea level)
Newton length                      =  L  = 9.6    meter
Mass of air the ball passes through=  m  =  S L ρ  =  M

L  =  M / (S ρ)  =  ⅔ D Ρ / ρ  =  9.6 meters

Reynold's number is proportional to ball speed.

If Reynold’s number > 100, the ball undergoes Newtonian drag, with the drag force proportional to V2.

If Reynold’s number < 100, the ball undergoes Stokes drag, with the drag force proportional to V.

The ball effectively stops when the Reynolds number gets as low as 100. Below this value, the drag coefficient increases as the ball goes into the Stokes regime.

Ball diameter       = D
Ball speed          = V
Air viscosity       = μ = 1.48e-5     meter/second2
Reynold’s number    = R = DV/μ

Air viscosity can be estimated from:

Air molecule mean free path  = Xfree ~   1  micrometer
Air molecule thermal speed   = Vth   ~ 400  meter/second
Air viscosity                = μ    ~ Xfree Vth

The drag force is

Air density         = ρ               =  1.22   kg/meter3
Speed               = V
Initial speed       = V0
Sphere diameter     = D               =   .22    meter
Sphere cross section= S               =   .0380  meter2
Drag coefficient    = C               =   .47
Mass                = M               =   .432   kg
Drag force          = F = ½ C S ρ V2
Drag deceleration   = A = ½ C S ρ V2 / M
Drag parameter      = K = ½ C S ρ / M =   .0252  meter-1
Drag deceleration   = A = - K V2
Time                = T
Air viscosity       = μ               = 1.48e-5  meter/second2
Reynold’s number    = R = DV/μ
Reynold’s, start    = R0= DV0/μ       =90000     dimensionless
Reynold’s, final    = Rf= DVf/μ       =  100     dimensionless
Speed, final        = Vf = Rfμ/D      =    .0067  meter/second
Time, final         = Tf = 1/(KVf)    = 5920      second

V' = - K V2       Newton's law

V = V0 / (1 + KV0T)  →  1/(KT)       for T → ∞

X = K-1 ln(1 + KV0T) = K-1 ln(1 + V0/Vf) = K-1 ln(1 + R0/Rf) ~ 453 meters

The total distance traveled is 453 meters.

A human that is running has a drag coefficient of 1.05.


Sum

Estimate F(11).

F(n) = 11!-1 (n+10)!/(n-1)!


Whip

sin(2πex)
0x sin(2πez) dz

Estimate ∫0 sin(2 π ex)

Exact integral = .1526.

For a given lobe, let XL and XR be the left and right endpoints, and approximate the lobe as sin(x). The approximate integral is (2/π) (XR - XL). For each lobe, the exact and approximate integrals are:

Lobe  Integral   Integral   Left endpoint   Right endpoint
      (exact)    (approx)

  1    .2566     .2581        ln(1)            ln(3/2)
  2   -.1826    -.1831        ln(3/2)          ln(2)
  3    .1418     .1421        ln(2)            ln(5/2)
  4   -.1159    -.1161        ln(5/2)          ln(3)

Total  .0999     .1010

The approximation is accurate.

If lobes are added in pairs then there is cancelation. Consider the two lobes from x = ln(m) to ln(m+1), where m is a nonnegative integer. The integral of both lobes is

Lm ∼ (2/π) [ln(m+½) - ln(m)] - (2/π)[ln(m+1) - ln(m+½)]
= (2/π) ln (m+½)2/(m(m+1))
= (2/π) ln (1+½/m)2/(1+1/m)
∼ (2/π) ln (1+1/(2m)2)
∼ (½/π) m-2

The sum of all lobes is a sum of the form ∑m=1 m-2, which converges.

Lobes 1 and 2 correspond to m=1, and lobes 3 and 4 correspond to m=2, etc.

  m    Lm      Lm
      exact  approx

  1   .0740   .1592
  2   .0259   .0398
  3   .0131   .0177
  4   .0079   .0099
  5   .0053   .0064

The approximation is accurate for m >= 3.

For lobes 1, 2, 3, and 4, each lobe must be treated separately, and the integral approximation is accurate.

For lobes 5 and beyond, you may add lobes pairwise.


Beyond Category

Tower of Power

xxxxx

Exponentials are evaluated top-down.

xxx = x(xx)

Let Tn(x) be a sequence such that    T1(x) = x    and    Tn+1(x) = xTn(x).    For example,

T1(x) = x
T2(x) = xx
T3(x) = x(xx)
Estimate T12(5/4)

Estimate T12(3/4)

Solution to be published in the future.


Scoring

Fermilab

Scoring:

For a given question, a competitor submits a number, and the score is:

Submitted number   =  X
Correct number     =  x
Score              =  S  = -log2(X/x - 1)

If X/x < 1, replace X/x with x/X.

   X/x    Score

  1+1/16    4
  1+1/8     3
  1+1/4     2
  1+1/2     1
  2         0
  4        -1.6
  8        -2.8
 16        -3.9
256        -8.0

Each problem has its own ceiling C and floor F.
If S > C, S is reset to C.
If S < F, S is reset to F.

Unless otherwise specified, S=6 and F=-8.

Typically, the values of S and F are:

Type of         S      F
estimation

Length          6      0
Time            6      0
Mass            4     -2

Exhibit of magnitudes


Science Olympiad resources

Fermi questions

Caltech pioneered a class on Order of Magnitude physics, and many of the students from the class subsequently wrote OOM textbooks. From the Caltech syllabus:

"Emphasis is on using basic physics to understand complicated systems. Examples will be selected from properties of materials, geophysics, weather, planetary science, astrophysics, cosmology, biomechanics, etc."

Mahajan: Street Fighting Mathematics
Mahajan: Art of Insight in Science and Engineering
Blackman: Order of Magnitude Physics
Shaviv: Order of Magnitude Physics
Chiang: Order of Magnitude Physics
Hogg: Real-World Ballistics
Maron: Action Physics
Maron: Fermi charts
Maron: Fermi unit data


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